Zelensky to unveil conflict resolution plan amidst global shifts
President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky announced that the plan to end the conflict with Russia will be presented in September. "There is an idea to build a front not only with the West but also with BRICS countries - in this case, India," says Jan Piekło, former Polish ambassador to Ukraine. Jerzy Marek Nowakowski, former ambassador to Latvia and Armenia, shares a similar view. "India clearly wants to become one of the key players," he emphasizes.
Zelensky described his undertaking as "Ukraine's victory plan." He explained that the project consists of several key elements: the first is actions in the Kursk region, the second is Ukraine's strategic position in global security infrastructure, the third pertains to diplomatic measures to force Russia to end the war, and the fourth relates to the economy.
The President of Ukraine emphasized that he cannot disclose details of the plan because he intends to present it to Joe Biden first.
According to former Polish ambassador to Ukraine Jan Piekło, aside from the Ukrainian strike on the Kursk region, another event that may be a broader part of Zelensky's plan should be noted. Namely, it is the visit of Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi to Ukraine. "This visit and the homage in places of memory important to Ukrainians is indeed a kind of breakthrough," says the diplomat.
"India wants to become one of the key players"
India has generally positioned itself more on the side of Russia, with which it traded. Still, now they seem more interested in armaments and trade with the West than with Russia, says Piekło.
He emphasizes that the form of diplomatic-military pressure is an effective way to put pressure on the Kremlin. However, as the former diplomat points out, New Delhi's move towards the West may simultaneously lead to further consequences such as the "breakup" of BRICS.
Jerzy Marek Nowakowski, former Polish ambassador to Latvia and Armenia, speaks in a similar tone. "India will never be in an alliance with China; that is obvious." He explains: "BRICS was rather a 'company' that was supposed to weaken the dominance of the West and become an equal political pole to the West, but since the political vehicle suddenly shifted to the aggressive Moscow-Beijing duo, India feels somewhat uncomfortable in this."
"India clearly wants to become one of the key players," emphasizes Nowakowski.
Will there be a massive attack on Crimea?
The former Polish ambassador to Latvia and Armenia also notes that Zelensky's plan is "evidence of Ukraine's fatigue with the war" and serves as an attempt to summarize the military successes achieved in the Kursk region.
Piekło also points to the success on the front. "I am deeply convinced that soon there will be a massive attack, an attempt not only to recapture but more to force the Russian troops to withdraw from the Crimean Peninsula. Supply lines would be cut off, and then they would not be able to hold Crimea," predicts the former Polish ambassador to Ukraine.
Decisive US elections?
However, Ukrainian successes on the front are largely dependent on Western equipment supplies. Without this, offensives will not be possible. Supplies are, in turn, largely dependent on the upcoming elections in the USA. In speaking about Ukraine's "victory plan," Zelensky emphasized the important role of the upcoming confrontation across the ocean.
Today, not only Ukraine anxiously looks towards Washington. Other European capitals are also waiting for the November resolution in the United States. According to Nowakowski, there is an atmosphere of hope in Kyiv. "Ukrainians are optimistic here and believe that regardless of the power arrangement in the United States, the aid will still be flowing," he emphasizes.
