Ukraine facing critical territorial challenges by year's end
According to assessments by Western intelligence services, Ukraine faces serious territorial losses by the end of the year, as reported by the newspaper Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung. The report states that the overall picture of Ukraine, due to Russia's military advantage, is currently obscured.
Intelligence analysis does not foresee Ukraine regaining control of the situation on the front in the near future, and certainly not by the end of 2024. There is concern that Ukraine may experience even more significant territorial losses by the end of the year than those that have occurred since the beginning of the year.
German media, which accessed these assessments, reported that the artillery operations conducted by Russian forces were significantly more substantial than those carried out by Ukrainian troops. The Russians compensated for their losses and even surpassed them.
On the other hand, Kyiv has not been able to recruit enough new soldiers to compensate for losses and build reserves. The new mobilization rules will start affecting the situation only by late summer, as newly recruited soldiers must first undergo proper training.
The expected territorial losses of Ukraine are a result of the current defensive stance of Ukrainian forces and the delaying actions associated with this stance. According to intelligence assessments accessed by "FAS," Ukraine is trying to conserve human resources and is buying time by giving up space.
Kyiv hopes to gain time for mobilization and rebuilding the military-industrial complex.
Ukraine has issues with ammunition and weapons
Roderich Kiesewetter, a Bundestag member from the CDU party and deputy chairman of the parliamentary intelligence oversight committee, confirmed that Ukraine has issues with ammunition and weapons. At the same time, he warned against spreading a pessimistic view of the war, which could suggest that the situation is hopeless and that military support for Ukraine is no longer needed.
In an interview with "FAS," Kiesewetter emphasized that Ukraine still has a chance to win, but any delay in support from Germany and other countries could make it more difficult and costly.
