Trump edges closer as Harris' lead narrows in new poll
9 September 2024 06:23
Donald Trump achieved slightly higher ratings than Kamala Harris in a new nationwide poll commissioned by the newspaper The New York Times. Her lead has diminished, but not completely. In key states, the Democratic candidate still has an advantage.
According to a new survey for "The New York Times," 48% of respondents who are likely to vote indicate they would vote for Trump, while 47% for Harris. This is the same result as in the analogous survey from July 24, just after President Joe Biden withdrew from the election. However, Harris has mostly maintained a several-point lead in most studies over the past few weeks.
As the newspaper points out, analyzing the results, as many as 28% of respondents declare that they still need to learn more about Harris (for Trump, it's 9%), indicating possible changes and highlighting the importance of the upcoming debate between the candidates.
The only scheduled televised debate between the candidates will occur on September 10 in Philadelphia, organized by ABC Television. The results also suggest that Harris is seen as a more ideologically extreme candidate (47% consider her "too liberal," while 34% consider Trump "too conservative") and, to a much lesser extent, gives voters hope for change.
Where is Harris' problem?
The Vice President's problem is also her slight edge among Latino voters, although she has gained over Biden among women and the youngest voters.
Another survey published on Sunday by YouGov for CBS television shows extremely balanced ratings of the candidates in the three key states of the "Rust Belt," i.e., Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. In Wisconsin, Harris leads by 2 percentage points, in Michigan by one, and in Pennsylvania, it's a tie. Winning all three states would likely give Harris enough electoral votes to win the election.
Despite leading in the nationwide "NYT" poll, the average of all surveys calculated by the same newspaper still gives Harris a 2 percent point higher rating than Trump nationwide. According to the same average, the Vice President leads or is tied with the former president in all seven key states, but her lead is within the margin of error.
