Russia's 2045 plan: Ukraine into three parts and NATO limits
The Main Intelligence Directorate (HUR) of Ukraine's Ministry of Defence is familiar with a document prepared in Russia concerning the forecast of the military-political situation worldwide up to the year 2045. This document predicts the division of Ukraine's territory into three parts, informed HUR deputy chief Vadym Skibitsky.
- First of all, the Main Intelligence Agency of the Ministry of Defense is familiar with this document. Moreover, this document was prepared by the Ministry of Defense and the General Staff of the Russian armed forces around December last year. This document forms the basis for long-term defence planning for a certain period of time – at least ten years. In particular, this document was developed for the period 2026-2035 with a perspective up to 2045 - said Skibitsky on Friday in a comment to Interfax-Ukraine.
He added that the document addresses the future development of the situation both at global and regional levels and the threats that Russia perceives in the coming security environment.
Russia wants to pursue a "solution" to the Ukraine issue
Skibitsky also emphasized that during his appearance at the annual YES meeting, the head of Ukraine's Main Intelligence Directorate, Kyrylo Budanov, presented some elements of this document. The Lieutenant General indicated, among other things, that Russia will strive for a "solution" to the Ukraine issue by 2026, as recorded in the mentioned Russian document. According to HUR, this is because a prolonged war will impact all aspects of Russian life – economic, demographic, image, etc.
- On the possible division of Ukraine. Undoubtedly, the strategic goal of Russia remains the complete occupation of our state - noted the general, emphasizing that to have strong economic, demographic, territorial, and military potential, "Putin needs all of Ukraine".
- This scenario of further development with a possible division of the territory is relevant not even for 2035-2045. It will already be relevant in the near future, for 2026, and maybe even earlier. You have heard Putin's statements regarding Ukrainian territories. He is already saying that Luhansk, Donetsk, Kherson, Zaporizhia regions and Crimea are supposedly Russian territories according to their constitution. And the published map already shows that the Russians perceive the occupied Ukrainian territories as new territories of Russia - he added.
"Neutral" government in Kyiv
HUR confirmed that the document also includes a plan to establish a pro-Russian government in Kyiv or mandatorily "neutral," meaning one that will not join NATO.
- This is all an analysis and assessment by the Russians. We see how quickly they can change their plans depending on their success, the reaction of the international community and the development of the situation – added Skibitsky, noting that the Kremlin has already analyzed the threats that will concern Russia until 2050.
In response to the question of whether the Russians might actually try to communicate this document to the USA through other countries, Skibitsky stated that such a threat exists. According to him, there is currently no information that this document has been shared elsewhere, but it cannot be ruled out.
