Rising opposition support meets election skepticism in Hungary

Support for the opposition party of Tisza Peter Magyar is on the rise in Hungary. According to the latest Publicus Institute poll, the party would receive 42 percent of votes among determined voters. Across the entire society, support stands at 28 percent. The Polish Press Agency notes that despite this growing support, most respondents do not foresee a win for the opposition in the 2026 parliamentary elections.

Prime Minister Viktor Orban's ruling Fidesz party can count on 37 percent support among determined voters and 25 percent across the entire society. Other parties, such as the centre-left Democratic Coalition, received 9 percent support among determined voters. The Our Homeland party gained 5 percent, while the Hungarian Socialist Party and the Two-Tailed Dog Party each garnered 2 percent.

Despite the good results for Magyar's party, 52 percent of respondents believe that Orban's government will remain in power after the 2026 elections. Only 35 percent believe he will be defeated.

The Publicus Institute conducted a survey with an expanded group of 3,060 respondents, which reduced the margin of error to 1.8 percent. Typically, surveys include about a thousand people, making this result more precise.

The survey results indicate that, even with growing support for the opposition, skepticism about their ability to take power remains. The political scene in Hungary continues to be dynamic, and the future of the opposition is uncertain.